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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sun 30 Mar 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio São Januário

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

53%

Vasco DA Gama

1.87

30%

Draw

3.39

17%

Santos

5.86

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.7%

Draw

2 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

2.41

0.82

Santos xG

53%
30%
17%
Vasco DA GamaDrawSantos

1.87

53%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

5.86

17%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

47%

BTTS Yes

2.14

53%

BTTS No

1.88

Clean Sheet

44%

Vasco DA Gama

2.27

20%

Santos

4.91

Win to Nil

23%

Vasco DA Gama

4.26

3%

Santos

28.80

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.0 7.4 3.0 0.8 0.2
1 14.3 11.7 4.8 1.3 0.3
2 11.3 9.3 3.8 1.0 0.2
3 6.0 4.9 2.0 0.6 0.1
4 2.4 2.0 0.8 0.2
5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.592
λ Away (xG) 0.821
Total xG 2.413
League avg home goals 1.339
League avg away goals 0.942
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.034
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.025
Santos attack strength 0.850
Santos defence strength 1.150
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 0