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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 7

Kick-off

Sun 4 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Arena BRB Mané Garrincha

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

35%

Vasco DA Gama

2.85

33%

Draw

3.04

32%

Palmeiras

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.9%

Home win

0 – 1

11.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.18

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

2.29

1.11

Palmeiras xG

35%
33%
32%
Vasco DA GamaDrawPalmeiras

2.85

35%

Home win

3.04

33%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

67%

Over 1.5

1.49

33%

Under 1.5

3.03

40%

Over 2.5

2.50

60%

Under 2.5

1.67

20%

Over 3.5

5.00

80%

Under 3.5

1.25

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.05

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

33%

Vasco DA Gama

3.05

31%

Palmeiras

3.24

Win to Nil

12%

Vasco DA Gama

8.68

10%

Palmeiras

10.14

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.1 11.3 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 11.9 13.3 7.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
2 7.0 7.8 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 2.7 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.176
λ Away (xG) 1.114
Total xG 2.290
League avg home goals 1.426
League avg away goals 0.867
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.054
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 0.960
Palmeiras attack strength 1.338
Palmeiras defence strength 0.782
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 44 / 44