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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Tue 2 Dec 2025

22:00

Venue

Estádio São Januário

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

52%

Vasco DA Gama

1.91

23%

Draw

4.32

25%

Mirassol

4.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.7%

Home win

1 – 0

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.80

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

2.96

1.16

Mirassol xG

52%
23%
25%
Vasco DA GamaDrawMirassol

1.91

52%

Home win

4.32

23%

Draw

4.07

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

57%

Over 2.5

1.75

43%

Under 2.5

2.33

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

18%

Over 4.5

5.56

82%

Under 4.5

1.22

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

57%

BTTS Yes

1.74

43%

BTTS No

2.35

Clean Sheet

31%

Vasco DA Gama

3.20

17%

Mirassol

6.05

Win to Nil

16%

Vasco DA Gama

6.12

4%

Mirassol

24.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.2 6.0 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 9.3 10.8 6.3 2.4 0.7 0.2
2 8.4 9.7 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.0 5.8 3.4 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 2.3 2.6 1.5 0.6 0.2
5 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.800
λ Away (xG) 1.163
Total xG 2.963
League avg home goals 1.495
League avg away goals 0.997
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.210
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.352
Mirassol attack strength 0.862
Mirassol defence strength 0.995
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 36