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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sat 19 Jul 2025

21:30

Venue

Estádio São Januário

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

47%

Vasco DA Gama

2.11

26%

Draw

3.82

26%

Gremio

3.79

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.0%

Home win

2 – 1

9.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.55

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

2.64

1.09

Gremio xG

47%
26%
26%
Vasco DA GamaDrawGremio

2.11

47%

Home win

3.82

26%

Draw

3.79

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.89

47%

BTTS No

2.12

Clean Sheet

33%

Vasco DA Gama

2.99

21%

Gremio

4.71

Win to Nil

16%

Vasco DA Gama

6.30

6%

Gremio

17.85

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 7.8 4.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 11.0 12.1 6.6 2.4 0.7 0.1
2 8.5 9.3 5.1 1.9 0.5 0.1
3 4.4 4.8 2.6 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.7 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.550
λ Away (xG) 1.094
Total xG 2.644
League avg home goals 1.243
League avg away goals 0.927
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 0.929
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.119
Gremio attack strength 1.054
Gremio defence strength 1.342
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51