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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Mon 20 Oct 2025

23:30

Venue

Estádio São Januário

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

49%

Vasco DA Gama

2.06

22%

Draw

4.54

29%

Fluminense

3.40

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

9.5%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.1%

Home win

1 – 2

6.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.93

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

3.40

1.47

Fluminense xG

49%
22%
29%
Vasco DA GamaDrawFluminense

2.06

49%

Home win

4.54

22%

Draw

3.40

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

85%

Over 1.5

1.18

15%

Under 1.5

6.67

66%

Over 2.5

1.52

34%

Under 2.5

2.94

44%

Over 3.5

2.27

56%

Under 3.5

1.79

26%

Over 4.5

3.85

74%

Under 4.5

1.35

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

66%

BTTS Yes

1.52

34%

BTTS No

2.93

Clean Sheet

23%

Vasco DA Gama

4.35

14%

Fluminense

6.91

Win to Nil

11%

Vasco DA Gama

8.96

4%

Fluminense

23.48

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3 4.9 3.6 1.8 0.6 0.2
1 6.4 9.5 6.9 3.4 1.3 0.4
2 6.2 9.1 6.7 3.3 1.2 0.4
3 4.0 5.9 4.3 2.1 0.8 0.2
4 1.9 2.8 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.933
λ Away (xG) 1.470
Total xG 3.403
League avg home goals 1.463
League avg away goals 1.003
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.214
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.318
Fluminense attack strength 1.112
Fluminense defence strength 1.088
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 66 / 65