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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 21

Kick-off

Sun 24 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio São Januário

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

42%

Vasco DA Gama

2.37

29%

Draw

3.41

29%

Corinthians

3.51

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.1%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

2.15

0.94

Corinthians xG

42%
29%
29%
Vasco DA GamaDrawCorinthians

2.37

42%

Home win

3.41

29%

Draw

3.51

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

39%

Vasco DA Gama

2.55

30%

Corinthians

3.34

Win to Nil

16%

Vasco DA Gama

6.06

9%

Corinthians

11.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 11.0 5.2 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.1 13.3 6.2 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 8.5 8.0 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 3.4 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.207
λ Away (xG) 0.938
Total xG 2.145
League avg home goals 1.279
League avg away goals 1.109
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 0.892
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.002
Corinthians attack strength 0.844
Corinthians defence strength 1.058
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 57 / 58