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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Mon 15 Sep 2025

00:30

Venue

Estádio São Januário

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

40%

Vasco DA Gama

2.50

29%

Draw

3.48

31%

Ceara

3.20

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.9%

Home win

0 – 1

11.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.21

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

2.24

1.03

Ceara xG

40%
29%
31%
Vasco DA GamaDrawCeara

2.50

40%

Home win

3.48

29%

Draw

3.20

31%

Away win

Goals Markets

65%

Over 1.5

1.54

35%

Under 1.5

2.86

39%

Over 2.5

2.56

61%

Under 2.5

1.64

19%

Over 3.5

5.26

81%

Under 3.5

1.23

8%

Over 4.5

12.50

92%

Under 4.5

1.09

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

45%

BTTS Yes

2.22

55%

BTTS No

1.82

Clean Sheet

36%

Vasco DA Gama

2.80

30%

Ceara

3.34

Win to Nil

14%

Vasco DA Gama

6.98

9%

Ceara

10.71

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 10.7 11.0 5.7 1.9 0.5 0.1
1 12.9 13.3 6.8 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 7.8 8.0 4.1 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 3.1 3.2 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.207
λ Away (xG) 1.029
Total xG 2.236
League avg home goals 1.346
League avg away goals 1.076
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 0.949
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.181
Ceara attack strength 0.810
Ceara defence strength 0.945
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 59 / 21