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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sat 12 Jul 2025

22:30

Venue

Arena BRB Mané Garrincha

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

37%

Vasco DA Gama

2.73

37%

Draw

2.71

26%

Botafogo

3.78

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

20.2%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

18.0%

Home win

0 – 1

14.3%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.89

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

1.60

0.71

Botafogo xG

37%
37%
26%
Vasco DA GamaDrawBotafogo

2.73

37%

Home win

2.71

37%

Draw

3.78

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

48%

Over 1.5

2.08

52%

Under 1.5

1.92

22%

Over 2.5

4.55

78%

Under 2.5

1.28

8%

Over 3.5

12.50

92%

Under 3.5

1.09

2%

Over 4.5

50.00

98%

Under 4.5

1.02

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

31%

BTTS Yes

3.24

69%

BTTS No

1.45

Clean Sheet

49%

Vasco DA Gama

2.04

41%

Botafogo

2.44

Win to Nil

18%

Vasco DA Gama

5.55

11%

Botafogo

9.21

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 20.2 14.3 5.1 1.2 0.2
1 18.0 12.8 4.5 1.1 0.2
2 8.0 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
3 2.4 1.7 0.6 0.1
4 0.5 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.890
λ Away (xG) 0.711
Total xG 1.601
League avg home goals 1.271
League avg away goals 0.904
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.002
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 0.997
Botafogo attack strength 0.789
Botafogo defence strength 0.699
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 50 / 49