Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Estádio São Januário

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

38%

Vasco DA Gama

2.64

30%

Draw

3.31

32%

Atletico-MG

3.13

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

13.0%

Home win

0 – 1

11.7%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.15

Vasco DA Gama xG

Total xG

2.17

1.03

Atletico-MG xG

38%
30%
32%
Vasco DA GamaDrawAtletico-MG

2.64

38%

Home win

3.31

30%

Draw

3.13

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.26

56%

BTTS No

1.79

Clean Sheet

36%

Vasco DA Gama

2.80

32%

Atletico-MG

3.14

Win to Nil

14%

Vasco DA Gama

7.40

10%

Atletico-MG

9.83

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.4 11.7 6.0 2.1 0.5 0.1
1 13.0 13.4 6.9 2.4 0.6 0.1
2 7.5 7.7 3.9 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 2.8 2.9 1.5 0.5 0.1
4 0.8 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.145
λ Away (xG) 1.029
Total xG 2.174
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.019
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 0.882
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.047
Atletico-MG attack strength 0.964
Atletico-MG defence strength 1.005
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 54