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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

21:30

Venue

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vitoria Win

33%

Sport Recife

2.99

24%

Draw

4.14

42%

Vitoria

2.36

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

8.9%

Away win

0 – 1

8.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.40

Sport Recife xG

Total xG

3.00

1.60

Vitoria xG

33%
24%
42%
Sport RecifeDrawVitoria

2.99

33%

Home win

4.14

24%

Draw

2.36

42%

Away win

Goals Markets

80%

Over 1.5

1.25

20%

Under 1.5

5.00

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

35%

Over 3.5

2.86

65%

Under 3.5

1.54

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

60%

BTTS Yes

1.66

40%

BTTS No

2.51

Clean Sheet

20%

Sport Recife

4.97

25%

Vitoria

4.06

Win to Nil

7%

Sport Recife

14.84

10%

Vitoria

9.57

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.0 8.0 6.4 3.4 1.4 0.4
1 6.9 11.1 8.9 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 4.9 7.8 6.2 3.3 1.3 0.4
3 2.3 3.6 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.2
4 0.8 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.400
λ Away (xG) 1.603
Total xG 3.003
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.015
Sport Recife attack strength 0.800
Sport Recife defence strength 1.837
Vitoria attack strength 0.860
Vitoria defence strength 1.233
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 34 / 72