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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Sao Paulo Win
24%
4.11
29%
3.43
47%
2.15
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.7%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.9%
Draw
0 – 0
12.5%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.82
Sport Recife xG
Total xG
2.08
1.26
Sao Paulo xG
Sport RecifeDrawSao Paulo
4.11
24%
Home win
3.43
29%
Draw
2.15
47%
Away win
Goals Markets
62%
Over 1.5
1.61
38%
Under 1.5
2.63
35%
Over 2.5
2.86
65%
Under 2.5
1.54
16%
Over 3.5
6.25
84%
Under 3.5
1.19
6%
Over 4.5
16.67
94%
Under 4.5
1.06
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
40%
BTTS Yes
2.49
60%
BTTS No
1.67
Clean Sheet
28%
3.52
44%
2.28
Win to Nil
7%
14.47
20%
4.90
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.5 | 15.7 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| 1 | 10.3 | 12.9 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 1.1 | 0.3 |
| 2 | 4.2 | 5.3 | 3.3 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.823
λ Away (xG)
1.258
Total xG
2.081
League avg home goals
1.284
League avg away goals
1.026
Sport Recife attack strength
0.664
Sport Recife defence strength
1.164
Sao Paulo attack strength
1.054
Sao Paulo defence strength
0.966
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
17 / 57