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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 26 Jul 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santos Win

34%

Sport Recife

2.98

31%

Draw

3.19

35%

Santos

2.85

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

14.3%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

14.1%

Away win

1 – 0

13.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Sport Recife xG

Total xG

1.94

0.98

Santos xG

34%
31%
35%
Sport RecifeDrawSantos

2.98

34%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

2.85

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

58%

Over 1.5

1.72

42%

Under 1.5

2.38

31%

Over 2.5

3.23

69%

Under 2.5

1.45

13%

Over 3.5

7.69

87%

Under 3.5

1.15

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.59

61%

BTTS No

1.63

Clean Sheet

37%

Sport Recife

2.68

38%

Santos

2.60

Win to Nil

13%

Sport Recife

7.98

13%

Santos

7.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 14.3 14.1 7.0 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 13.7 13.5 6.7 2.2 0.5 0.1
2 6.6 6.5 3.2 1.0 0.3 0.1
3 2.1 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.957
λ Away (xG) 0.985
Total xG 1.942
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 0.924
Sport Recife attack strength 0.619
Sport Recife defence strength 1.297
Santos attack strength 0.822
Santos defence strength 1.239
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 15