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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 4

Kick-off

Wed 16 Apr 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sport Recife Win

35%

Sport Recife

2.82

35%

Draw

2.88

30%

RB Bragantino

3.35

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.8%

Home win

0 – 1

9.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.30

Sport Recife xG

Total xG

2.49

1.19

RB Bragantino xG

35%
35%
30%
Sport RecifeDrawRB Bragantino

2.82

35%

Home win

2.88

35%

Draw

3.35

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

45%

Over 2.5

2.22

55%

Under 2.5

1.82

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.19

Clean Sheet

31%

Sport Recife

3.28

27%

RB Bragantino

3.68

Win to Nil

11%

Sport Recife

9.26

8%

RB Bragantino

12.30

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.3 9.9 5.8 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.8 12.8 7.6 3.0 0.9 0.2
2 7.0 8.3 5.0 2.0 0.6 0.1
3 3.1 3.6 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.302
λ Away (xG) 1.187
Total xG 2.489
League avg home goals 1.390
League avg away goals 0.933
Sport Recife attack strength 0.850
Sport Recife defence strength 1.258
RB Bragantino attack strength 1.011
RB Bragantino defence strength 1.103
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 3 / 41