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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Gremio Win
25%
4.01
21%
4.68
54%
1.86
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 2
9.5%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
9.3%
Draw
0 – 2
7.1%
Away win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.34
Sport Recife xG
Total xG
3.38
2.04
Gremio xG
Sport RecifeDrawGremio
4.01
25%
Home win
4.68
21%
Draw
1.86
54%
Away win
Goals Markets
85%
Over 1.5
1.18
15%
Under 1.5
6.67
66%
Over 2.5
1.52
34%
Under 2.5
2.94
44%
Over 3.5
2.27
56%
Under 3.5
1.79
25%
Over 4.5
4.00
75%
Under 4.5
1.33
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
64%
BTTS Yes
1.56
36%
BTTS No
2.80
Clean Sheet
13%
7.71
26%
3.82
Win to Nil
3%
30.95
14%
7.11
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.4 | 6.9 | 7.1 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 1.0 |
| 1 | 4.5 | 9.3 | 9.5 | 6.5 | 3.3 | 1.3 |
| 2 | 3.0 | 6.2 | 6.4 | 4.3 | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| 3 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 2.8 | 1.9 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 4 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.340
λ Away (xG)
2.043
Total xG
3.383
League avg home goals
1.499
League avg away goals
1.028
Sport Recife attack strength
0.751
Sport Recife defence strength
1.885
Gremio attack strength
1.054
Gremio defence strength
1.189
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
37 / 75