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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 15

Kick-off

Sun 20 Jul 2025

21:30

Venue

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Botafogo Win

18%

Sport Recife

5.69

33%

Draw

3.00

49%

Botafogo

2.04

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

21.5%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

19.6%

Draw

0 – 2

11.8%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.53

Sport Recife xG

Total xG

1.63

1.10

Botafogo xG

18%
33%
49%
Sport RecifeDrawBotafogo

5.69

18%

Home win

3.00

33%

Draw

2.04

49%

Away win

Goals Markets

48%

Over 1.5

2.08

52%

Under 1.5

1.92

22%

Over 2.5

4.55

78%

Under 2.5

1.28

8%

Over 3.5

12.50

92%

Under 3.5

1.09

3%

Over 4.5

33.33

97%

Under 4.5

1.03

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

28%

BTTS Yes

3.61

72%

BTTS No

1.38

Clean Sheet

33%

Sport Recife

3.00

59%

Botafogo

1.70

Win to Nil

6%

Sport Recife

17.03

29%

Botafogo

3.47

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 19.6 21.5 11.8 4.3 1.2 0.3
1 10.4 11.5 6.3 2.3 0.6 0.1
2 2.8 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2
3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1
4 0.1 0.1
5

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.533
λ Away (xG) 1.097
Total xG 1.630
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 0.875
Sport Recife attack strength 0.661
Sport Recife defence strength 1.336
Botafogo attack strength 0.938
Botafogo defence strength 0.633
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 12 / 51