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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Bahia Win
22%
4.51
28%
3.55
50%
2.01
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
0 – 1
15.4%
Away win
Most likely
1 – 1
12.6%
Draw
0 – 0
11.2%
Draw
Expected Goals & Win Odds
0.82
Sport Recife xG
Total xG
2.19
1.37
Bahia xG
Sport RecifeDrawBahia
4.51
22%
Home win
3.55
28%
Draw
2.01
50%
Away win
Goals Markets
64%
Over 1.5
1.56
36%
Under 1.5
2.78
37%
Over 2.5
2.70
63%
Under 2.5
1.59
18%
Over 3.5
5.56
82%
Under 3.5
1.22
7%
Over 4.5
14.29
93%
Under 4.5
1.08
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
42%
BTTS Yes
2.39
58%
BTTS No
1.72
Clean Sheet
25%
3.94
44%
2.27
Win to Nil
6%
17.74
22%
4.56
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 11.2 | 15.4 | 10.5 | 4.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 |
| 1 | 9.2 | 12.6 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 1.3 | 0.4 |
| 2 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | – | – |
| 5 | – | – | – | – | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
0.818
λ Away (xG)
1.370
Total xG
2.188
League avg home goals
1.269
League avg away goals
0.933
Sport Recife attack strength
0.714
Sport Recife defence strength
1.389
Bahia attack strength
1.057
Bahia defence strength
0.901
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
15 / 53