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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sat 8 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sport Recife Win

34%

Sport Recife

2.91

32%

Draw

3.10

33%

Atletico-MG

3.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

15.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

14.7%

Home win

0 – 1

14.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.94

Sport Recife xG

Total xG

1.85

0.92

Atletico-MG xG

34%
32%
33%
Sport RecifeDrawAtletico-MG

2.91

34%

Home win

3.10

32%

Draw

3.00

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

55%

Over 1.5

1.82

45%

Under 1.5

2.22

28%

Over 2.5

3.57

72%

Under 2.5

1.39

12%

Over 3.5

8.33

88%

Under 3.5

1.14

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.74

63%

BTTS No

1.58

Clean Sheet

40%

Sport Recife

2.50

39%

Atletico-MG

2.55

Win to Nil

14%

Sport Recife

7.29

13%

Atletico-MG

7.64

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.7 14.4 6.6 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 14.7 13.5 6.2 1.9 0.4 0.1
2 6.9 6.3 2.9 0.9 0.2
3 2.1 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.936
λ Away (xG) 0.918
Total xG 1.854
League avg home goals 1.407
League avg away goals 0.935
Sport Recife attack strength 0.725
Sport Recife defence strength 1.476
Atletico-MG attack strength 0.666
Atletico-MG defence strength 0.917
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 31 / 69