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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sat 24 May 2025

22:30

Venue

Estadio Do MorumBIS

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sao Paulo Win

46%

Sao Paulo

2.18

33%

Draw

3.06

21%

Mirassol

4.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

12.5%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.28

Sao Paulo xG

Total xG

2.08

0.80

Mirassol xG

46%
33%
21%
Sao PauloDrawMirassol

2.18

46%

Home win

3.06

33%

Draw

4.67

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.40

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

45%

Sao Paulo

2.23

28%

Mirassol

3.60

Win to Nil

21%

Sao Paulo

4.84

6%

Mirassol

16.84

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.5 10.0 4.0 1.1 0.2
1 16.0 12.8 5.1 1.4 0.3
2 10.2 8.2 3.3 0.9 0.2
3 4.4 3.5 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 1.4 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.282
λ Away (xG) 0.800
Total xG 2.082
League avg home goals 1.399
League avg away goals 0.829
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.872
Sao Paulo defence strength 0.984
Mirassol attack strength 0.980
Mirassol defence strength 1.051
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 9