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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 35

Kick-off

Sun 23 Nov 2025

19:00

Venue

Vila Belmiro

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sao Paulo Win

53%

Sao Paulo

1.89

24%

Draw

4.09

23%

Juventude

4.42

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.6%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.66

Sao Paulo xG

Total xG

2.65

0.99

Juventude xG

53%
24%
23%
Sao PauloDrawJuventude

1.89

53%

Home win

4.09

24%

Draw

4.42

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

28%

Over 3.5

3.57

72%

Under 3.5

1.39

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.96

49%

BTTS No

2.04

Clean Sheet

37%

Sao Paulo

2.70

19%

Juventude

5.25

Win to Nil

20%

Sao Paulo

5.10

4%

Juventude

23.22

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.0 7.0 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
1 11.7 11.6 5.8 1.9 0.5 0.1
2 9.7 9.6 4.8 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 5.4 5.3 2.6 0.9 0.2
4 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.659
λ Away (xG) 0.994
Total xG 2.653
League avg home goals 1.422
League avg away goals 1.021
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.968
Sao Paulo defence strength 1.008
Juventude attack strength 0.965
Juventude defence strength 1.205
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 72 / 72