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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 37

Kick-off

Wed 3 Dec 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Do MorumBIS

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sao Paulo Win

57%

Sao Paulo

1.76

23%

Draw

4.33

20%

Internacional

4.94

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.0%

Draw

2 – 0

10.1%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.79

Sao Paulo xG

Total xG

2.77

0.97

Internacional xG

57%
23%
20%
Sao PauloDrawInternacional

1.76

57%

Home win

4.33

23%

Draw

4.94

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

76%

Over 1.5

1.32

24%

Under 1.5

4.17

52%

Over 2.5

1.92

48%

Under 2.5

2.08

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.93

48%

BTTS No

2.08

Clean Sheet

38%

Sao Paulo

2.64

17%

Internacional

6.01

Win to Nil

21%

Sao Paulo

4.66

3%

Internacional

29.73

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.3 6.1 3.0 1.0 0.2
1 11.3 11.0 5.3 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.1 9.8 4.8 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 6.1 5.9 2.9 0.9 0.2
4 2.7 2.6 1.3 0.4 0.1
5 1.0 0.9 0.5 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.794
λ Away (xG) 0.972
Total xG 2.766
League avg home goals 1.493
League avg away goals 1.014
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.965
Sao Paulo defence strength 1.011
Internacional attack strength 0.949
Internacional defence strength 1.245
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 74 / 74