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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sun 27 Jul 2025

20:00

Venue

Estadio Do MorumBIS

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Sao Paulo Win

36%

Sao Paulo

2.81

30%

Draw

3.36

35%

Fluminense

2.88

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.8%

Home win

0 – 1

12.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.07

Sao Paulo xG

Total xG

2.12

1.05

Fluminense xG

36%
30%
35%
Sao PauloDrawFluminense

2.81

36%

Home win

3.36

30%

Draw

2.88

35%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.34

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

35%

Sao Paulo

2.87

34%

Fluminense

2.92

Win to Nil

12%

Sao Paulo

8.08

12%

Fluminense

8.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.0 12.6 6.6 2.3 0.6 0.1
1 12.8 13.5 7.1 2.5 0.7 0.1
2 6.8 7.2 3.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
3 2.4 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1
4 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.070
λ Away (xG) 1.054
Total xG 2.124
League avg home goals 1.261
League avg away goals 0.930
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.926
Sao Paulo defence strength 1.086
Fluminense attack strength 1.044
Fluminense defence strength 0.916
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 52