Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 32

Kick-off

Thu 6 Nov 2025

00:30

Venue

Estadio Do MorumBIS

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Flamengo Win

32%

Sao Paulo

3.08

30%

Draw

3.38

38%

Flamengo

2.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Most likely

0 – 1

13.3%

Away win

1 – 0

12.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.01

Sao Paulo xG

Total xG

2.14

1.12

Flamengo xG

32%
30%
38%
Sao PauloDrawFlamengo

3.08

32%

Home win

3.38

30%

Draw

2.63

38%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

33%

Sao Paulo

3.07

36%

Flamengo

2.76

Win to Nil

11%

Sao Paulo

9.47

14%

Flamengo

7.26

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.8 13.3 7.4 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 12.0 13.4 7.5 2.8 0.8 0.2
2 6.1 6.8 3.8 1.4 0.4 0.1
3 2.1 2.3 1.3 0.5 0.1
4 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.014
λ Away (xG) 1.122
Total xG 2.136
League avg home goals 1.409
League avg away goals 0.939
Sao Paulo attack strength 1.019
Sao Paulo defence strength 0.967
Flamengo attack strength 1.237
Flamengo defence strength 0.706
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 69 / 68