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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Sao Paulo Win
54%
1.84
24%
4.15
22%
4.61
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
1 – 0
11.7%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
11.4%
Draw
2 – 0
9.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
1.69
Sao Paulo xG
Total xG
2.67
0.98
Bahia xG
Sao PauloDrawBahia
1.84
54%
Home win
4.15
24%
Draw
4.61
22%
Away win
Goals Markets
75%
Over 1.5
1.33
25%
Under 1.5
4.00
50%
Over 2.5
2.00
50%
Under 2.5
2.00
28%
Over 3.5
3.57
72%
Under 3.5
1.39
13%
Over 4.5
7.69
87%
Under 4.5
1.15
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
51%
BTTS Yes
1.97
49%
BTTS No
2.03
Clean Sheet
38%
2.65
18%
5.44
Win to Nil
20%
4.89
4%
25.09
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.9 | 6.8 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 11.7 | 11.4 | 5.6 | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 2 | 9.9 | 9.7 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 |
| 3 | 5.6 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | – |
| 4 | 2.4 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
| 5 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
1.694
λ Away (xG)
0.976
Total xG
2.670
League avg home goals
1.430
League avg away goals
0.970
Sao Paulo attack strength
0.994
Sao Paulo defence strength
1.021
Bahia attack strength
0.985
Bahia defence strength
1.192
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
67 / 67