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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Tue 21 Oct 2025

01:30

Venue

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santos Win

55%

Santos

1.81

23%

Draw

4.35

22%

Vitoria

4.59

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.81

Santos xG

Total xG

2.87

1.05

Vitoria xG

55%
23%
22%
SantosDrawVitoria

1.81

55%

Home win

4.35

23%

Draw

4.59

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

55%

Over 2.5

1.82

45%

Under 2.5

2.22

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

54%

BTTS Yes

1.84

46%

BTTS No

2.20

Clean Sheet

35%

Santos

2.86

16%

Vitoria

6.13

Win to Nil

19%

Santos

5.19

4%

Vitoria

28.13

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.7 6.0 3.2 1.1 0.3 0.1
1 10.3 10.9 5.7 2.0 0.5 0.1
2 9.4 9.9 5.2 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 5.7 6.0 3.1 1.1 0.3 0.1
4 2.6 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.814
λ Away (xG) 1.052
Total xG 2.866
League avg home goals 1.463
League avg away goals 0.993
Santos attack strength 0.845
Santos defence strength 1.196
Vitoria attack strength 0.886
Vitoria defence strength 1.467
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 27 / 66