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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

Kick-off

Mon 28 Apr 2025

00:30

Venue

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santos Win

44%

Santos

2.29

32%

Draw

3.11

24%

RB Bragantino

4.15

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.7%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

12.6%

Home win

0 – 1

9.0%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.41

Santos xG

Total xG

2.42

1.00

RB Bragantino xG

44%
32%
24%
SantosDrawRB Bragantino

2.29

44%

Home win

3.11

32%

Draw

4.15

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

69%

Over 1.5

1.45

31%

Under 1.5

3.23

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

51%

BTTS Yes

1.98

49%

BTTS No

2.02

Clean Sheet

37%

Santos

2.73

24%

RB Bragantino

4.10

Win to Nil

16%

Santos

6.23

6%

RB Bragantino

17.03

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 9.0 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
1 12.6 12.7 6.3 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 8.9 8.9 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
3 4.2 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
4 1.5 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
5 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.412
λ Away (xG) 1.003
Total xG 2.415
League avg home goals 1.417
League avg away goals 0.866
Santos attack strength 1.003
Santos defence strength 1.130
RB Bragantino attack strength 1.025
RB Bragantino defence strength 0.994
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 5 / 43