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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Sun 16 Nov 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

24%

Santos

4.19

26%

Draw

3.92

51%

Palmeiras

1.97

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

12.4%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.1%

Draw

0 – 2

9.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.98

Santos xG

Total xG

2.53

1.55

Palmeiras xG

24%
26%
51%
SantosDrawPalmeiras

4.19

24%

Home win

3.92

26%

Draw

1.97

51%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.03

51%

BTTS No

1.97

Clean Sheet

21%

Santos

4.71

38%

Palmeiras

2.66

Win to Nil

5%

Santos

19.75

19%

Palmeiras

5.25

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.0 12.4 9.6 5.0 1.9 0.6
1 7.8 12.1 9.4 4.8 1.9 0.6
2 3.8 5.9 4.6 2.4 0.9 0.3
3 1.2 1.9 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1
4 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.978
λ Away (xG) 1.550
Total xG 2.528
League avg home goals 1.395
League avg away goals 1.011
Santos attack strength 0.746
Santos defence strength 1.157
Palmeiras attack strength 1.326
Palmeiras defence strength 0.940
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 70