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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 34

Kick-off

Thu 20 Nov 2025

00:30

Venue

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santos Win

37%

Santos

2.72

31%

Draw

3.26

33%

Mirassol

3.07

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.9%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.5%

Draw

0 – 0

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.05

Santos xG

Total xG

2.02

0.97

Mirassol xG

37%
31%
33%
SantosDrawMirassol

2.72

37%

Home win

3.26

31%

Draw

3.07

33%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.48

60%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

38%

Santos

2.64

35%

Mirassol

2.85

Win to Nil

14%

Santos

7.17

11%

Mirassol

8.75

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.3 12.9 6.2 2.0 0.5 0.1
1 13.9 13.5 6.5 2.1 0.5 0.1
2 7.3 7.1 3.4 1.1 0.3 0.1
3 2.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.049
λ Away (xG) 0.969
Total xG 2.018
League avg home goals 1.388
League avg away goals 0.997
Santos attack strength 0.759
Santos defence strength 1.052
Mirassol attack strength 0.925
Mirassol defence strength 0.995
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 33 / 33