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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Tue 5 Aug 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Do MorumBIS

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santos Win

61%

Santos

1.64

25%

Draw

4.07

15%

Juventude

6.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

13.0%

Home win

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.71

Santos xG

Total xG

2.42

0.71

Juventude xG

61%
25%
15%
SantosDrawJuventude

1.64

61%

Home win

4.07

25%

Draw

6.84

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

70%

Over 1.5

1.43

30%

Under 1.5

3.33

43%

Over 2.5

2.33

57%

Under 2.5

1.75

22%

Over 3.5

4.55

78%

Under 3.5

1.28

10%

Over 4.5

10.00

90%

Under 4.5

1.11

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.37

58%

BTTS No

1.73

Clean Sheet

49%

Santos

2.03

18%

Juventude

5.51

Win to Nil

30%

Santos

3.34

3%

Juventude

37.70

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.9 6.3 2.2 0.5 0.1
1 15.2 10.8 3.8 0.9 0.2
2 13.0 9.2 3.3 0.8 0.1
3 7.4 5.2 1.9 0.4 0.1
4 3.2 2.2 0.8 0.2
5 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.707
λ Away (xG) 0.709
Total xG 2.416
League avg home goals 1.271
League avg away goals 0.949
Santos attack strength 0.811
Santos defence strength 1.102
Juventude attack strength 0.678
Juventude defence strength 1.657
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 16 / 53