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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 16

Kick-off

Thu 24 Jul 2025

01:30

Venue

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Santos Win

48%

Santos

2.09

29%

Draw

3.50

24%

Internacional

4.25

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.4%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.8%

Draw

0 – 0

11.7%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.31

Santos xG

Total xG

2.15

0.83

Internacional xG

48%
29%
24%
SantosDrawInternacional

2.09

48%

Home win

3.50

29%

Draw

4.25

24%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.42

59%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

44%

Santos

2.30

27%

Internacional

3.72

Win to Nil

21%

Santos

4.79

6%

Internacional

15.82

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.7 9.7 4.0 1.1 0.2
1 15.4 12.8 5.3 1.5 0.3 0.1
2 10.1 8.4 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 4.4 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.315
λ Away (xG) 0.831
Total xG 2.146
League avg home goals 1.258
League avg away goals 0.888
Santos attack strength 0.844
Santos defence strength 1.000
Internacional attack strength 0.935
Internacional defence strength 1.239
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 52