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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 28

Kick-off

Thu 16 Oct 2025

01:30

Venue

Estadio Urbano Caldeira

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Corinthians Win

30%

Santos

3.31

31%

Draw

3.27

39%

Corinthians

2.55

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

14.6%

Away win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.4%

Draw

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.92

Santos xG

Total xG

2.01

1.09

Corinthians xG

30%
31%
39%
SantosDrawCorinthians

3.31

30%

Home win

3.27

31%

Draw

2.55

39%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.51

60%

BTTS No

1.66

Clean Sheet

34%

Santos

2.98

40%

Corinthians

2.51

Win to Nil

10%

Santos

9.85

16%

Corinthians

6.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.4 14.6 8.0 2.9 0.8 0.2
1 12.3 13.4 7.3 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 5.7 6.2 3.4 1.2 0.3 0.1
3 1.7 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1
4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.919
λ Away (xG) 1.091
Total xG 2.010
League avg home goals 1.433
League avg away goals 1.033
Santos attack strength 0.722
Santos defence strength 1.166
Corinthians attack strength 0.905
Corinthians defence strength 0.889
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 65