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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 23

Kick-off

Sun 14 Sep 2025

15:00

Venue

Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Bragantino Win

56%

RB Bragantino

1.77

23%

Draw

4.38

21%

Sport Recife

4.83

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.83

RB Bragantino xG

Total xG

2.84

1.01

Sport Recife xG

56%
23%
21%
RB BragantinoDrawSport Recife

1.77

56%

Home win

4.38

23%

Draw

4.83

21%

Away win

Goals Markets

78%

Over 1.5

1.28

22%

Under 1.5

4.55

54%

Over 2.5

1.85

46%

Under 2.5

2.17

32%

Over 3.5

3.12

68%

Under 3.5

1.47

16%

Over 4.5

6.25

84%

Under 4.5

1.19

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.87

47%

BTTS No

2.15

Clean Sheet

36%

RB Bragantino

2.75

16%

Sport Recife

6.21

Win to Nil

21%

RB Bragantino

4.87

3%

Sport Recife

29.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.9 5.9 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
1 10.7 10.8 5.5 1.8 0.5 0.1
2 9.8 9.9 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 5.9 6.0 3.0 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 2.7 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1
5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.826
λ Away (xG) 1.012
Total xG 2.838
League avg home goals 1.367
League avg away goals 1.081
RB Bragantino attack strength 1.087
RB Bragantino defence strength 1.288
Sport Recife attack strength 0.726
Sport Recife defence strength 1.229
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 60 / 20