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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Thu 17 Jul 2025

01:30

Venue

Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

RB Bragantino Win

41%

RB Bragantino

2.45

30%

Draw

3.30

29%

Sao Paulo

3.46

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.8%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.4%

Draw

0 – 0

13.1%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

RB Bragantino xG

Total xG

2.03

0.90

Sao Paulo xG

41%
30%
29%
RB BragantinoDrawSao Paulo

2.45

41%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

3.46

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

60%

Over 1.5

1.67

40%

Under 1.5

2.50

33%

Over 2.5

3.03

67%

Under 2.5

1.49

15%

Over 3.5

6.67

85%

Under 3.5

1.18

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

40%

BTTS Yes

2.49

60%

BTTS No

1.67

Clean Sheet

41%

RB Bragantino

2.46

32%

Sao Paulo

3.10

Win to Nil

17%

RB Bragantino

6.02

9%

Sao Paulo

10.72

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.1 11.8 5.3 1.6 0.4 0.1
1 14.8 13.4 6.0 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 8.4 7.5 3.4 1.0 0.2
3 3.2 2.8 1.3 0.4 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.130
λ Away (xG) 0.900
Total xG 2.030
League avg home goals 1.267
League avg away goals 0.914
RB Bragantino attack strength 0.890
RB Bragantino defence strength 1.083
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.910
Sao Paulo defence strength 1.003
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 51 / 51