Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Wed 16 Jul 2025

23:00

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

42%

Palmeiras

2.40

31%

Draw

3.22

27%

Mirassol

3.67

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.5%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.7%

Draw

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.13

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

1.99

0.86

Mirassol xG

42%
31%
27%
PalmeirasDrawMirassol

2.40

42%

Home win

3.22

31%

Draw

3.67

27%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

39%

BTTS Yes

2.55

61%

BTTS No

1.65

Clean Sheet

42%

Palmeiras

2.36

32%

Mirassol

3.10

Win to Nil

18%

Palmeiras

5.65

9%

Mirassol

11.40

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.7 11.7 5.0 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 15.5 13.3 5.7 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 8.8 7.5 3.2 0.9 0.2
3 3.3 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.2 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.133
λ Away (xG) 0.857
Total xG 1.990
League avg home goals 1.280
League avg away goals 0.926
Palmeiras attack strength 0.868
Palmeiras defence strength 0.939
Mirassol attack strength 0.986
Mirassol defence strength 1.020
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 11