Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

Kick-off

Sun 25 May 2025

20:00

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Draw

35%

Palmeiras

2.88

37%

Draw

2.74

29%

Flamengo

3.47

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 0

16.3%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

15.6%

Home win

0 – 1

13.9%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.96

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

1.82

0.85

Flamengo xG

35%
37%
29%
PalmeirasDrawFlamengo

2.88

35%

Home win

2.74

37%

Draw

3.47

29%

Away win

Goals Markets

54%

Over 1.5

1.85

46%

Under 1.5

2.17

27%

Over 2.5

3.70

73%

Under 2.5

1.37

11%

Over 3.5

9.09

89%

Under 3.5

1.12

4%

Over 4.5

25.00

96%

Under 4.5

1.04

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.67

63%

BTTS No

1.60

Clean Sheet

43%

Palmeiras

2.35

38%

Flamengo

2.62

Win to Nil

15%

Palmeiras

6.78

11%

Flamengo

9.08

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 16.3 13.9 5.9 1.7 0.4 0.1
1 15.6 13.4 5.7 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 7.5 6.4 2.7 0.8 0.2
3 2.4 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1
4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.962
λ Away (xG) 0.855
Total xG 1.817
League avg home goals 1.372
League avg away goals 0.826
Palmeiras attack strength 0.879
Palmeiras defence strength 0.849
Flamengo attack strength 1.219
Flamengo defence strength 0.799
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 47 / 47