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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 19

Kick-off

Sun 10 Aug 2025

20:00

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

45%

Palmeiras

2.22

30%

Draw

3.33

25%

Ceara

4.00

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

15.2%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.0%

Draw

0 – 0

12.2%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

2.11

0.86

Ceara xG

45%
30%
25%
PalmeirasDrawCeara

2.22

45%

Home win

3.33

30%

Draw

4.00

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

62%

Over 1.5

1.61

38%

Under 1.5

2.63

35%

Over 2.5

2.86

65%

Under 2.5

1.54

16%

Over 3.5

6.25

84%

Under 3.5

1.19

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

42%

BTTS Yes

2.41

58%

BTTS No

1.71

Clean Sheet

42%

Palmeiras

2.35

29%

Ceara

3.49

Win to Nil

19%

Palmeiras

5.23

7%

Ceara

13.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 12.2 10.4 4.5 1.3 0.3
1 15.2 13.0 5.6 1.6 0.3 0.1
2 9.5 8.1 3.5 1.0 0.2
3 4.0 3.4 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.250
λ Away (xG) 0.856
Total xG 2.106
League avg home goals 1.291
League avg away goals 1.019
Palmeiras attack strength 1.003
Palmeiras defence strength 0.944
Ceara attack strength 0.891
Ceara defence strength 0.964
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 54 / 17