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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 36

Kick-off

Wed 27 Nov 2024

00:30

Venue

Allianz Parque

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Palmeiras Win

43%

Palmeiras

2.34

31%

Draw

3.19

26%

Botafogo

3.84

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

14.6%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.2%

Draw

0 – 0

11.9%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.23

Palmeiras xG

Total xG

2.13

0.90

Botafogo xG

43%
31%
26%
PalmeirasDrawBotafogo

2.34

43%

Home win

3.19

31%

Draw

3.84

26%

Away win

Goals Markets

63%

Over 1.5

1.59

37%

Under 1.5

2.70

36%

Over 2.5

2.78

64%

Under 2.5

1.56

17%

Over 3.5

5.88

83%

Under 3.5

1.20

6%

Over 4.5

16.67

94%

Under 4.5

1.06

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

43%

BTTS Yes

2.33

57%

BTTS No

1.75

Clean Sheet

41%

Palmeiras

2.46

29%

Botafogo

3.41

Win to Nil

17%

Palmeiras

5.77

8%

Botafogo

13.10

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.9 10.7 4.8 1.4 0.3 0.1
1 14.6 13.2 5.9 1.8 0.4 0.1
2 9.0 8.1 3.6 1.1 0.2
3 3.7 3.3 1.5 0.4 0.1
4 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.1
5 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.227
λ Away (xG) 0.900
Total xG 2.127
League avg home goals 1.319
League avg away goals 0.984
Palmeiras attack strength 1.335
Palmeiras defence strength 0.867
Botafogo attack strength 1.055
Botafogo defence strength 0.697
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 73 / 73