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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 17

Kick-off

Sat 26 Jul 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

49%

Mirassol

2.06

30%

Draw

3.39

22%

Vitoria

4.58

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

17.1%

Home win

Most likely

0 – 0

13.7%

Draw

1 – 1

12.6%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.25

Mirassol xG

Total xG

1.99

0.74

Vitoria xG

49%
30%
22%
MirassolDrawVitoria

2.06

49%

Home win

3.39

30%

Draw

4.58

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

59%

Over 1.5

1.69

41%

Under 1.5

2.44

32%

Over 2.5

3.12

68%

Under 2.5

1.47

14%

Over 3.5

7.14

86%

Under 3.5

1.16

5%

Over 4.5

20.00

95%

Under 4.5

1.05

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

37%

BTTS Yes

2.69

63%

BTTS No

1.59

Clean Sheet

48%

Mirassol

2.09

29%

Vitoria

3.50

Win to Nil

23%

Mirassol

4.29

6%

Vitoria

16.05

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 13.7 10.1 3.7 0.9 0.2
1 17.1 12.6 4.6 1.1 0.2
2 10.7 7.9 2.9 0.7 0.1
3 4.5 3.3 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1
5 0.4 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.254
λ Away (xG) 0.736
Total xG 1.990
League avg home goals 1.248
League avg away goals 0.924
Mirassol attack strength 1.159
Mirassol defence strength 1.031
Vitoria attack strength 0.772
Vitoria defence strength 0.866
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 14 / 54