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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 18

Kick-off

Sat 2 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

49%

Mirassol

2.02

26%

Draw

3.87

25%

Vasco DA Gama

4.05

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.9%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.3%

Home win

2 – 1

9.5%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.59

Mirassol xG

Total xG

2.65

1.05

Vasco DA Gama xG

49%
26%
25%
MirassolDrawVasco DA Gama

2.02

49%

Home win

3.87

26%

Draw

4.05

25%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

13%

Over 4.5

7.69

87%

Under 4.5

1.15

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

52%

BTTS Yes

1.91

48%

BTTS No

2.10

Clean Sheet

35%

Mirassol

2.87

20%

Vasco DA Gama

4.93

Win to Nil

17%

Mirassol

5.80

5%

Vasco DA Gama

19.98

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.1 7.5 3.9 1.4 0.4 0.1
1 11.3 11.9 6.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
2 9.0 9.5 5.0 1.8 0.5 0.1
3 4.8 5.0 2.7 0.9 0.2 0.1
4 1.9 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1
5 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.595
λ Away (xG) 1.054
Total xG 2.649
League avg home goals 1.261
League avg away goals 0.919
Mirassol attack strength 1.124
Mirassol defence strength 1.058
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.084
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.125
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 15 / 53