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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 29

Kick-off

Sun 19 Oct 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

54%

Mirassol

1.86

25%

Draw

4.03

22%

Sao Paulo

4.64

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

12.7%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

2 – 0

10.3%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.62

Mirassol xG

Total xG

2.55

0.93

Sao Paulo xG

54%
25%
22%
MirassolDrawSao Paulo

1.86

54%

Home win

4.03

25%

Draw

4.64

22%

Away win

Goals Markets

72%

Over 1.5

1.39

28%

Under 1.5

3.57

47%

Over 2.5

2.13

53%

Under 2.5

1.89

25%

Over 3.5

4.00

75%

Under 3.5

1.33

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.06

52%

BTTS No

1.94

Clean Sheet

40%

Mirassol

2.53

20%

Sao Paulo

5.05

Win to Nil

21%

Mirassol

4.72

4%

Sao Paulo

23.43

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.8 7.3 3.4 1.0 0.2
1 12.7 11.8 5.5 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 10.3 9.5 4.4 1.4 0.3 0.1
3 5.5 5.1 2.4 0.7 0.2
4 2.2 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1
5 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.620
λ Away (xG) 0.928
Total xG 2.548
League avg home goals 1.446
League avg away goals 1.020
Mirassol attack strength 1.206
Mirassol defence strength 1.007
Sao Paulo attack strength 0.903
Sao Paulo defence strength 0.929
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 28 / 66