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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Most Likely Outcome
Mirassol Win
60%
1.66
20%
5.05
20%
4.98
Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines
2 – 1
9.6%
Home win
Most likely
1 – 1
8.6%
Draw
2 – 0
7.9%
Home win
Expected Goals & Win Odds
2.23
Mirassol xG
Total xG
3.45
1.22
Santos xG
MirassolDrawSantos
1.66
60%
Home win
5.05
20%
Draw
4.98
20%
Away win
Goals Markets
86%
Over 1.5
1.16
14%
Under 1.5
7.14
67%
Over 2.5
1.49
33%
Under 2.5
3.03
45%
Over 3.5
2.22
55%
Under 3.5
1.82
27%
Over 4.5
3.70
73%
Under 4.5
1.37
Match Markets
Both Teams to Score
63%
BTTS Yes
1.59
37%
BTTS No
2.70
Clean Sheet
29%
3.40
11%
9.28
Win to Nil
18%
5.65
2%
46.24
Score Probability Matrix (%)
| H \ A | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 1 | 7.1 | 8.6 | 5.3 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 2 | 7.9 | 9.6 | 5.9 | 2.4 | 0.7 | 0.2 |
| 3 | 5.8 | 7.1 | 4.4 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.1 |
| 4 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 2.4 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.1 |
| 5 | 1.5 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | – |
Green = home win · Grey = draw · Amber = away win · White ring = most likely score
▶ Model Internals
λ Home (xG)
2.228
λ Away (xG)
1.223
Total xG
3.451
League avg home goals
1.552
League avg away goals
1.146
Mirassol attack strength
1.183
Mirassol defence strength
1.022
Santos attack strength
1.043
Santos defence strength
1.214
Data phase
CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A)
41 / 42