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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 26

Kick-off

Wed 1 Oct 2025

23:00

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

64%

Mirassol

1.56

20%

Draw

5.09

16%

RB Bragantino

6.16

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 0

10.0%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 1

9.9%

Home win

1 – 0

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.16

Mirassol xG

Total xG

3.15

0.99

RB Bragantino xG

64%
20%
16%
MirassolDrawRB Bragantino

1.56

64%

Home win

5.09

20%

Draw

6.16

16%

Away win

Goals Markets

82%

Over 1.5

1.22

18%

Under 1.5

5.56

61%

Over 2.5

1.64

39%

Under 2.5

2.56

39%

Over 3.5

2.56

61%

Under 3.5

1.64

21%

Over 4.5

4.76

79%

Under 4.5

1.27

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

37%

Mirassol

2.69

11%

RB Bragantino

8.70

Win to Nil

24%

Mirassol

4.20

2%

RB Bragantino

53.59

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.3 4.2 2.1 0.7 0.2
1 9.2 9.1 4.5 1.5 0.4 0.1
2 10.0 9.9 4.9 1.6 0.4 0.1
3 7.2 7.1 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.9 3.9 1.9 0.6 0.2
5 1.7 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.163
λ Away (xG) 0.991
Total xG 3.154
League avg home goals 1.363
League avg away goals 1.042
Mirassol attack strength 1.280
Mirassol defence strength 1.004
RB Bragantino attack strength 0.947
RB Bragantino defence strength 1.240
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 24 / 63