Sign in Register
🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 33

Kick-off

Sun 9 Nov 2025

23:30

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

45%

Mirassol

2.20

25%

Draw

4.01

30%

Palmeiras

3.37

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.8%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

9.7%

Home win

2 – 1

9.2%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.56

Mirassol xG

Total xG

2.78

1.22

Palmeiras xG

45%
25%
30%
MirassolDrawPalmeiras

2.20

45%

Home win

4.01

25%

Draw

3.37

30%

Away win

Goals Markets

77%

Over 1.5

1.30

23%

Under 1.5

4.35

53%

Over 2.5

1.89

47%

Under 2.5

2.13

30%

Over 3.5

3.33

70%

Under 3.5

1.43

15%

Over 4.5

6.67

85%

Under 4.5

1.18

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.80

44%

BTTS No

2.25

Clean Sheet

30%

Mirassol

3.37

21%

Palmeiras

4.77

Win to Nil

13%

Mirassol

7.44

6%

Palmeiras

16.07

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.2 7.6 4.6 1.9 0.6 0.1
1 9.7 11.8 7.2 2.9 0.9 0.2
2 7.6 9.2 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
3 3.9 4.8 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.1
4 1.5 1.9 1.1 0.5 0.1
5 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.562
λ Away (xG) 1.216
Total xG 2.778
League avg home goals 1.379
League avg away goals 0.974
Mirassol attack strength 1.240
Mirassol defence strength 0.912
Palmeiras attack strength 1.369
Palmeiras defence strength 0.914
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 32 / 69