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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Thu 9 Oct 2025

01:00

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

54%

Mirassol

1.85

23%

Draw

4.44

23%

Fluminense

4.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

10.4%

Draw

Most likely

2 – 1

9.8%

Home win

1 – 0

9.0%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.88

Mirassol xG

Total xG

3.04

1.16

Fluminense xG

54%
23%
23%
MirassolDrawFluminense

1.85

54%

Home win

4.44

23%

Draw

4.28

23%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

58%

Over 2.5

1.72

42%

Under 2.5

2.38

36%

Over 3.5

2.78

64%

Under 3.5

1.56

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

58%

BTTS Yes

1.72

42%

BTTS No

2.39

Clean Sheet

31%

Mirassol

3.19

15%

Fluminense

6.53

Win to Nil

17%

Mirassol

5.90

4%

Fluminense

27.96

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.8 5.6 3.2 1.2 0.4 0.1
1 9.0 10.4 6.1 2.3 0.7 0.2
2 8.5 9.8 5.7 2.2 0.6 0.1
3 5.3 6.1 3.6 1.4 0.4 0.1
4 2.5 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.2
5 0.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.877
λ Away (xG) 1.160
Total xG 3.037
League avg home goals 1.410
League avg away goals 1.020
Mirassol attack strength 1.176
Mirassol defence strength 1.020
Fluminense attack strength 1.115
Fluminense defence strength 1.132
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 26 / 63