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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

Kick-off

Tue 19 Aug 2025

00:00

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Cruzeiro Win

30%

Mirassol

3.38

29%

Draw

3.45

41%

Cruzeiro

2.41

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

0 – 1

13.7%

Away win

Most likely

1 – 1

13.3%

Draw

0 – 0

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

0.97

Mirassol xG

Total xG

2.18

1.21

Cruzeiro xG

30%
29%
41%
MirassolDrawCruzeiro

3.38

30%

Home win

3.45

29%

Draw

2.41

41%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

44%

BTTS Yes

2.29

56%

BTTS No

1.77

Clean Sheet

30%

Mirassol

3.34

38%

Cruzeiro

2.64

Win to Nil

9%

Mirassol

11.31

16%

Cruzeiro

6.38

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 13.7 8.2 3.3 1.0 0.2
1 11.0 13.3 8.0 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 5.3 6.5 3.9 1.6 0.5 0.1
3 1.7 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2
4 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1
5 0.1 0.1 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 0.972
λ Away (xG) 1.207
Total xG 2.179
League avg home goals 1.263
League avg away goals 1.130
Mirassol attack strength 1.237
Mirassol defence strength 1.042
Cruzeiro attack strength 1.026
Cruzeiro defence strength 0.622
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 17 / 57