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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 8

Kick-off

Sat 10 May 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

60%

Mirassol

1.66

22%

Draw

4.56

18%

Corinthians

5.57

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

2 – 1

10.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

9.8%

Draw

2 – 0

9.7%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

2.03

Mirassol xG

Total xG

3.06

1.03

Corinthians xG

60%
22%
18%
MirassolDrawCorinthians

1.66

60%

Home win

4.56

22%

Draw

5.57

18%

Away win

Goals Markets

81%

Over 1.5

1.23

19%

Under 1.5

5.26

59%

Over 2.5

1.69

41%

Under 2.5

2.44

37%

Over 3.5

2.70

63%

Under 3.5

1.59

19%

Over 4.5

5.26

81%

Under 4.5

1.23

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

56%

BTTS Yes

1.78

44%

BTTS No

2.29

Clean Sheet

36%

Mirassol

2.79

13%

Corinthians

7.63

Win to Nil

22%

Mirassol

4.64

2%

Corinthians

42.53

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7 4.8 2.5 0.8 0.2
1 9.5 9.8 5.0 1.7 0.4 0.1
2 9.7 10.0 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.1
3 6.6 6.7 3.5 1.2 0.3 0.1
4 3.3 3.4 1.8 0.6 0.2
5 1.4 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 2.032
λ Away (xG) 1.027
Total xG 3.059
League avg home goals 1.422
League avg away goals 0.836
Mirassol attack strength 1.179
Mirassol defence strength 1.311
Corinthians attack strength 0.937
Corinthians defence strength 1.213
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 7 / 45