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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 22

Kick-off

Sun 31 Aug 2025

22:30

Venue

Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Mirassol Win

40%

Mirassol

2.51

28%

Draw

3.57

32%

Bahia

3.11

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

13.1%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

11.8%

Home win

0 – 1

10.4%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.26

Mirassol xG

Total xG

2.37

1.11

Bahia xG

40%
28%
32%
MirassolDrawBahia

2.51

40%

Home win

3.57

28%

Draw

3.11

32%

Away win

Goals Markets

68%

Over 1.5

1.47

32%

Under 1.5

3.12

42%

Over 2.5

2.38

58%

Under 2.5

1.72

21%

Over 3.5

4.76

79%

Under 3.5

1.27

9%

Over 4.5

11.11

91%

Under 4.5

1.10

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

48%

BTTS Yes

2.08

52%

BTTS No

1.93

Clean Sheet

33%

Mirassol

3.03

28%

Bahia

3.53

Win to Nil

13%

Mirassol

7.61

9%

Bahia

10.97

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.4 10.4 5.7 2.1 0.6 0.1
1 11.8 13.1 7.2 2.7 0.7 0.2
2 7.5 8.2 4.6 1.7 0.5 0.1
3 3.1 3.5 1.9 0.7 0.2
4 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.262
λ Away (xG) 1.107
Total xG 2.369
League avg home goals 1.323
League avg away goals 1.091
Mirassol attack strength 1.141
Mirassol defence strength 1.060
Bahia attack strength 0.957
Bahia defence strength 0.836
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 19 / 57