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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 1

Kick-off

Sat 29 Mar 2025

21:30

Venue

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventude Win

40%

Juventude

2.51

27%

Draw

3.76

34%

Vitoria

2.98

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

12.5%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 0

10.0%

Home win

0 – 1

9.1%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.38

Juventude xG

Total xG

2.62

1.24

Vitoria xG

40%
27%
34%
JuventudeDrawVitoria

2.51

40%

Home win

3.76

27%

Draw

2.98

34%

Away win

Goals Markets

74%

Over 1.5

1.35

26%

Under 1.5

3.85

49%

Over 2.5

2.04

51%

Under 2.5

1.96

27%

Over 3.5

3.70

73%

Under 3.5

1.37

12%

Over 4.5

8.33

88%

Under 4.5

1.14

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

53%

BTTS Yes

1.88

47%

BTTS No

2.14

Clean Sheet

29%

Juventude

3.46

25%

Vitoria

3.96

Win to Nil

12%

Juventude

8.70

8%

Vitoria

11.77

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 7.3 9.1 5.6 2.3 0.7 0.2
1 10.0 12.5 7.7 3.2 1.0 0.2
2 6.9 8.6 5.3 2.2 0.7 0.2
3 3.2 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.3 0.1
4 1.1 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.1
5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.375
λ Away (xG) 1.242
Total xG 2.617
League avg home goals 1.419
League avg away goals 1.055
Juventude attack strength 0.972
Juventude defence strength 1.114
Vitoria attack strength 1.056
Vitoria defence strength 0.997
Data phase PrevSeason
Games used (H/A) 38 / 38