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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 14

Kick-off

Wed 20 Aug 2025

23:00

Venue

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Vasco DA Gama Win

32%

Juventude

3.16

24%

Draw

4.10

44%

Vasco DA Gama

2.28

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 1

11.4%

Draw

Most likely

1 – 2

9.1%

Away win

0 – 1

8.6%

Away win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.32

Juventude xG

Total xG

2.92

1.60

Vasco DA Gama xG

32%
24%
44%
JuventudeDrawVasco DA Gama

3.16

32%

Home win

4.10

24%

Draw

2.28

44%

Away win

Goals Markets

79%

Over 1.5

1.27

21%

Under 1.5

4.76

56%

Over 2.5

1.79

44%

Under 2.5

2.27

34%

Over 3.5

2.94

66%

Under 3.5

1.52

17%

Over 4.5

5.88

83%

Under 4.5

1.20

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

59%

BTTS Yes

1.71

41%

BTTS No

2.41

Clean Sheet

20%

Juventude

4.95

27%

Vasco DA Gama

3.75

Win to Nil

6%

Juventude

15.65

12%

Vasco DA Gama

8.54

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 5.4 8.6 6.9 3.7 1.5 0.5
1 7.1 11.4 9.1 4.9 1.9 0.6
2 4.7 7.5 6.0 3.2 1.3 0.4
3 2.1 3.3 2.7 1.4 0.6 0.2
4 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.1
5 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.323
λ Away (xG) 1.600
Total xG 2.923
League avg home goals 1.263
League avg away goals 1.128
Juventude attack strength 0.944
Juventude defence strength 0.982
Vasco DA Gama attack strength 1.445
Vasco DA Gama defence strength 1.109
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 56 / 56