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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 13

Kick-off

Tue 15 Jul 2025

00:00

Venue

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventude Win

52%

Juventude

1.91

28%

Draw

3.60

20%

Sport Recife

5.02

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

16.0%

Home win

Most likely

1 – 1

12.2%

Draw

2 – 0

11.4%

Home win

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.42

Juventude xG

Total xG

2.18

0.76

Sport Recife xG

52%
28%
20%
JuventudeDrawSport Recife

1.91

52%

Home win

3.60

28%

Draw

5.02

20%

Away win

Goals Markets

64%

Over 1.5

1.56

36%

Under 1.5

2.78

37%

Over 2.5

2.70

63%

Under 2.5

1.59

18%

Over 3.5

5.56

82%

Under 3.5

1.22

7%

Over 4.5

14.29

93%

Under 4.5

1.08

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

41%

BTTS Yes

2.46

59%

BTTS No

1.68

Clean Sheet

47%

Juventude

2.14

24%

Sport Recife

4.12

Win to Nil

24%

Juventude

4.10

5%

Sport Recife

20.68

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3 8.6 3.3 0.8 0.2
1 16.0 12.2 4.7 1.2 0.2
2 11.4 8.7 3.3 0.8 0.2
3 5.4 4.1 1.6 0.4 0.1
4 1.9 1.4 0.6 0.1
5 0.5 0.4 0.2

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.416
λ Away (xG) 0.762
Total xG 2.178
League avg home goals 1.273
League avg away goals 0.935
Juventude attack strength 0.903
Juventude defence strength 1.154
Sport Recife attack strength 0.707
Sport Recife defence strength 1.231
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 49 / 11