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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie A · Regular Season - 5

Kick-off

Sun 20 Apr 2025

15:00

Venue

Estadio Alfredo Jaconi

Competition

Serie A

Brazil

Status

FT

Most Likely Outcome

Juventude Win

55%

Juventude

1.83

30%

Draw

3.30

15%

Mirassol

6.63

Top 3 Most Likely Scorelines

1 – 0

13.8%

Home win

Most likely

2 – 0

11.6%

Home win

1 – 1

11.3%

Draw

Expected Goals & Win Odds

1.68

Juventude xG

Total xG

2.50

0.82

Mirassol xG

55%
30%
15%
JuventudeDrawMirassol

1.83

55%

Home win

3.30

30%

Draw

6.63

15%

Away win

Goals Markets

71%

Over 1.5

1.41

29%

Under 1.5

3.45

46%

Over 2.5

2.17

54%

Under 2.5

1.85

24%

Over 3.5

4.17

76%

Under 3.5

1.32

11%

Over 4.5

9.09

89%

Under 4.5

1.12

Match Markets

Both Teams to Score

49%

BTTS Yes

2.06

51%

BTTS No

1.95

Clean Sheet

44%

Juventude

2.27

19%

Mirassol

5.34

Win to Nil

24%

Juventude

4.16

3%

Mirassol

35.44

Score Probability Matrix (%)

H \ A 0 1 2 3 4 5
0 8.2 6.8 2.8 0.8 0.2
1 13.8 11.3 4.7 1.3 0.3
2 11.6 9.5 3.9 1.1 0.2
3 6.5 5.3 2.2 0.6 0.1
4 2.7 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.1
5 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1

Green = home win Β· Grey = draw Β· Amber = away win Β· White ring = most likely score

Model Internals
λ Home (xG) 1.676
λ Away (xG) 0.821
Total xG 2.497
League avg home goals 1.449
League avg away goals 0.887
Juventude attack strength 1.047
Juventude defence strength 1.007
Mirassol attack strength 0.919
Mirassol defence strength 1.105
Data phase CurrentSeason
Games used (H/A) 42 / 4